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November 26, 2001

Restructuring the Military

The international media have widely been reporting about the shakeup in the State Peace and Development Council (SPDC), the military hierarchy, and the Cabinet. The SPDC has announced appointments to the vacant ministerial posts. However, the generals are dragging their feet in announcing the makeup of the new SPDC or the changes in the regional commands. (Changes in the Cabinet and regional commands reported in the NewsDesk of 12 November).

Maj Gen Kyaw Win, deputy chief of intelligence, in his recent press conference, confirmed that 10 regional commanders had been brought from outlying areas to Rangoon to fill higher military posts, some left vacant by the recent sackings.

He said the SPDC was "bringing in younger and more active military officers." AFP reporting the press conference, quoted Maj Gen Kyaw Win as saying, "The regional commander (posts) will be filled up by commanders of army divisions."

Despite Kyaw Win's statement, no announcement has been made about the appointment of younger officers to the regional commands. From the state-run Burmese press reports, it appears that the promoted commanders are still in charge of the regional commands and they will continue to be so until their successors are announced.

The only announcement by SPDC concerning military appointments has been the naming of Maj. (Lt) Gen Thein Sein as the new Adjutant General replacing the number four man in the SPDC, Lt Gen Win Myint, and Maj (Lt) Gen Tin Aung Myin Oo as the new Quartermaster General taking over the place of Lt Gen Tin Hla. (The Quartermaster General's Office wields more clout over military units since it controls military supplies, fuel, vehicles, and other military unit needs whereas the Adjutant General Office only deals with personal matters of individual soldiers, controlling their leaves, travels, health benefits, and so forth)

What The Changes Mean

The Tokyo-based Burma Survey & Research (BSR) team says that former regional commanders promoted and transferred to Defense Ministry positions, some as commanders of the newly formed Army Groups have all been promoted as lieutenant generals. They are, however, still referred to as major generals and will officially become lieutenant generals once they complete their 12-month officiating period.

The significant development is that these promoted generals will continue to be members of the SPDC and when new regional commanders are appointed the new commanders will not have any say in the SPDC.

The move initiated by the top leaders in the SPDC is aimed at depriving the new regional military commanders of decision-making powers at the national level.

Bureau of Special Operations

The commander of the Bureau of Special Operations (BSO) is the most powerful post under the Commander-In-Chief of Army because he controls all Army operations, regional military commands, light infantry divisions, military operations commands, regional operation commands, and artillery/armored operations commands.

SPDC has not appointed a new BSO Commander so far and by all appearances, there will not be one. BSO Commander's duties will most likely be shared among the newly created Army Group Commands. The four generals tipped to become Army Group Commanders (Tat-Taw-Suu-Hmuu) are:

(1) Maj. (Lt.) Gen. Kyaw Win (Commander of Northern Command, Myitkyina)
(2) Maj. (Lt.) Gen. Maung Bo (Commander of Eastern Command, Taunggyi)
(3) Maj. (Lt.) Gen. Aung Htwe (Commander of Western Command)
(4) Maj. (Lt.) Gen. Soe Win (Commander of Northwest Command, Monywa)
(Rangoon press confirms that he is now attached to the Defense Ministry)

At the time of the helicopter crash that killed him, Lt. Gen. Tin Oo had two important positions in the Army--Chief of Staff of the Army and Commander of the BSO.

The position of the Chief of Staff (Army), according to BSR, will most likely go to Maj. (Lt.) Gen. Ye Myint (former Commander of Central Command, Mandalay) and Maj (Lt.) Gen. Thura Shwe Mann (Commander of Southwest Command, Bassein) will become the newly created position of Joint Chief of Staff (Army-Navy-Air Force).

The Army is the most powerful branch of the Defense Services in Burma and Maj (Lt) Gen Shwe Mann's new position places him as the third most powerful officer in the combat wing after Senior General Than Shwe and the Commander-in-Chief of Army, Gen. Maung Aye. NewsDesk of 12 November reported that Maj (Lt) Gen Shwe Mann might replace Gen Maung Aye as the Commander in Chief of Army and that has not happened so far.

The new SPDC lineup

The country's decision-making powers now rest in the hands of a troika of generals--Senior General Than Shwe, head of the SPDC, General Maung Aye, SPDC vice chairman, and Lieutenant-General Khin Nyunt, SPDC secretary.

Lt Gen Khin Nyunt is also the only secretary left in the SPDC. Deputy Chief of Intelligence Kyaw Win said at the press conference that the Secretary-2 post once held by late Lieutenant-General Tin Oo and the Secretary-3 post held by Lieutenant-General Win Myint "will not be filled".

The list below is the new SPDC lineup and their expected ranks in the Defense Services:

Chairman Senior Gen. Than Shwe, Commander-In-Chief (Defense Services)
Vice Chairman Gen. Maung Aye, Vice Commander-In-Chief (Defense Services)
Secretary Lt. Gen. Khin Nyunt, Director General, Defense Services Intelligence Bureau

Members
Maj (Lt) Gen. Thura Shwe Mann, Joint Chief of Staff (Army-Navy-Air Force)
Maj (Lt) Thein Sein, Adjutant General
Maj (Lt) Gen. Tin Aung Myin Oo, Quarter Master General
Maj (Lt) Gen. Ye Myint, Chief of Staff (Army)
Maj (Lt) Gen. Tin Aye, Military Training General
Maj (Lt) Gen. Khin Maung Than, Commander of Rangoon Military Command
Maj (Lt) Gen. Aung Htwe, Army Group Commander
Maj (Lt) Gen. Kyaw Win, Army Group Commander
Maj (Lt) Gen. Maung Bo, Army Group Commander
Maj (Lt) Gen. Soe Win, Army Group Commander

The Intelligence Wing

The general that gained the most from the latest round of shakeup would be Lieutenant General Khin Nyunt. He is now a full officiating general, and significantly, the Director General of the Defense Services Intelligence Bureau (DSIB).

The Office of Strategic Studies and the Directorate of Defense Services Intelligence have been merged to form the DSIB with seven departments under it--(1) Administration, (2) Foreign Affairs, (3) Counter Intelligence, (4) Internal Security, (5) Border Areas, (6) Computer Section, and (7) Training.

Top-level intelligence officers in these departments have also received promotions.

What that could mean is that Burma's military which has had three major branches--Army, Navy, and Air Force--may now have four--Army, Navy, Air Force and Intelligence.

According to the previous military structure, the DDSI was under the Office of Strategic Studies (also under Khin Nyunt), which reports to the Office of the Commander-In-Chief of Army. Under the new structure, the intelligence wing would become an independent branch and under full control of Khin Nyunt.

The Senior General and Trade

A source close to the SPDC says that Senior General Than Shwe is unhappy about the economy and over corruption charges in the Trade Policy Council. The senior general, the source said, will personally take charge of trade and economic matters.

Gen. Maung Aye has been in charge of developing the nation's economy as the Chairman of the Trade Policy Council. The secretary of the Council is U Soe Thar (Minister for National Planning and Economic Development and the dismissed Lt Gen Tin Hla was the joint secretary. Lt. Gen Khin Nyunt is the member of the council.

The Council's business, among others, is to issue export and import licenses, and it even decides on car import application by individuals. The main source of corruption in the council has been the granting of import licenses for cars, cooking oil, and profitable consumer goods. Senior military officials in the council have been dismissed for corruption even before Tin Hla was sacked.

Impact on The Talks

With the power concentrated in the hands of the three senior generals and with less protest votes from regional commanders in the decision-making process, bold decisions, either positive or negative, could be made in connection with the talks between the SPDC and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi once the dust settles in the military restructuring efforts.

Maj Gen Kyaw Win explained in his press briefing that the military restructuring "has nothing whatsoever to do with the confidence-building talks" between the junta and National League for Democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi, but that the reshuffle could benefit the historic talks aimed at "national reconciliation." With regard to government efficiency, Kyaw Win said, "Things are expected to become faster, quicker and better."

Fallout

Corruption and bribery investigations are currently underway against Win Myint and Tin Hla who were in charge of state-run economic enterprises--Union of Myanmar Economic Holdings Limited and the Myanmar Economic Corporation. The official explanation given for their dismissals was "infringement of policy."

The fallout from their dismissals is already being felt in the private sector. Reports from Rangoon suggest that Pinlon Hteik Htar, a construction and business enterprise once under the protection of Win Myint and known among the people for attracting investors with generous monthly returns, is already reported to be collapsing.

The Lighter Side

The generals in the SPDC have been ecstatic over the capture of an eight-year-old "white" male elephant from Rakhine region with Khin Nyunt himself carrying out traditional rituals of sprinkling water containing gold, silver, and nine kinds of precious gems over the pachyderm. Than Shwe and Maung Aye also reviewed the animal at a magnificent ceremony in Rangoon.

Burmese and other Southeast Asian kings consider "white" (pinkish) elephants as extremely auspicious and had even fought wars over these animals because, according to traditional beliefs, only powerful and good rulers come to possess them and that they bring good fortune to the country.

A more down to earth comment came from an observer who told the NewsDesk, "If the 'white' elephant in question is eight years old as reported, it must have been born in 1993. I cannot see the economy making much progress since then. Besides, there must be scores of these 'white' elephants in Africa, a continent never known for any economic prosperity."

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